Flood Monitoring, Forecasting and Inundation Modeling
This section of research highlights a robust collection of studies that advance the science of flood risk management through innovative flood monitoring, forecasting, and inundation modeling. These studies leverage the latest advancements in hydrodynamic modeling, climate science, and computational technologies, aiming to provide more precise and actionable flood risk assessments. Research in this area incorporates a variety of approaches to better understand and predict flood dynamics across different environments—from densely urbanized areas to coastal and riverine landscapes. This includes the use of detailed climate change projections to model their impact on floodplains, the exploration of urban land use changes on flood frequencies, and the development of sophisticated regional and global models that integrate multiple data sources to analyze flood frequency and severity. A significant focus is also placed on technical developments, such as the application of Bayesian hierarchical models for regional flood analysis and the use of machine learning techniques to identify atmospheric patterns linked to extreme flooding events. These methods enhance the capability to model complex flood scenarios and allow for real-time flood monitoring and forecasting that can dynamically adapt as flood events unfold. Additionally, the integration of remotely sensed data and the application of advanced data assimilation techniques help in mapping flood inundation with high accuracy, crucial for emergency management and disaster response planning. Studies also delve into the assessment of compound flooding effects, where multiple drivers such as rainfall, storm surges, and river flows interact, increasing the complexity of flood hazards. Overall, the work featured in this section not only pushes the boundaries of traditional flood modeling but also contributes to more resilient infrastructure and community planning through enhanced understanding and preparedness for flood risks. This research is pivotal for shaping future strategies in flood risk management, ensuring that communities are better equipped to handle the adverse impacts of flooding.
- Moradkhani H., R.G., Baird, and S. Wherry (2010), Assessment of Climate Change on Floodplain Mapping and Hydrologic Ecotones, Journal of Hydrology, 395, 264–278.
- Jung, I., H. Chang, and H. Moradkhani (2011), Quantifying uncertainty in urban flooding analysis by combined effect of climate and land use change scenarios, Hydrology and Earth System Science, 15, 617–633.
- Yan, H., and H. Moradkhani (2014), A Regional Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Flood Frequency Analysis, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, DOI: 10.1007/s00477.014.0975.3.
- Yan, H., and H. Moradkhani (2015), Toward more Robust Extreme Flood Prediction by Bayesian Hierarchical and Multimodeling, Natural Hazards, doi:10.1007/s11069-015-2070-6.
- Schelf K.E., H. Moradkhani, and U. Lall (2019), Atmospheric Circulation Patterns Associated with extreme United States Floods Identified via Machine Learning, Nature, Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-43496-w.
- Ahmadalipour, A., and H. Moradkhani (2019), A data-driven analysis of flash flood hazard, fatalities, and damages over the CONUS during 1996-2017, Journal of Hydrology, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124106.
- Khajehei, S., A. Ahmadalipour, W. Shao, and H. Moradkhani (2020), A Place-based Assessment of Flash Flood Hazard and Vulnerability in the Contiguous United States, 10:448, Nature, Scientific Reports. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-57349-z.
- Alipour, A. , A. Ahmadalipour, P. Abbaszadeh, and H. Moradkhani (2020), Leveraging machine learning for predicting flash flood damages in the Southeast US, Environmental Research Letter. 15, 2, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab6edd
- Alipour, A. , A. Ahmadalipour, and H. Moradkhani (2020), Assessing Flash Flood Hazard and Damages in the Southeast U.S., Journal of Flood Risk Management. doi: 10.1111/JFR3.12605.
- Munoz, D.F., H. Moftakhari, and H. Moradkhani (2020), Compound Effects of Flood Drivers and Wetland Elevation Correction on Flood Hazard Assessment, Water Resources Research, doi:10.1029/2020WR027544.
- Munoz, D., P. Munoz, H. Moftakhari, and H.Moradkhani (2021) From Local to Regional Compound Flood Mapping with Deep Learning and Data Fusion Techniques, Science of The Total Environment, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146927
- Jafarzadehan, K., P. Abbaszadeh, and H. Moradkhani (2021) Sequential Data Assimilation for Real-Time Probabilistic Flood Inundation Mapping, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4995–5011, doi: 10.5194/hess-25-4995-2021.
- Jafarzadegan, K., A. Alipour, K. Gavahi, Hamed. Moftakhari, and H. Moradkhani (2021) Toward improved river boundary conditioning for simulation of extreme floods , Advances in Water Resources, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.104059
- Muñoz, D.F., P. Abbaszadeh, H. Moftakhari, and H. Moradkhani (2021), Accounting for uncertainties in compound flood hazard assessment: The value of data assimilation, Coastal Engineering, doi:10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.104057.
- Jafarzadegan, K., D. Muñoz, H. Moftakhari, J. Gutenson, G. Savant, H. Moradkhani, (2022), Real-time coastal flood hazard assessment using DEM-based hydrogeomorphic classifiers, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., doi:10.5194/nhess-22-1419-2022.
- Alipour, A., K., Jafarzadegan, and H. Moradkhani, (2022), Global sensitivity analysis in hydrodynamic modeling and flood inundation mapping, Environmental Modeling and Software, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2022.105398.
- Muñoz DF, H. Moftakhari, M. Kumar, and H. Moradkhani (2022), Compound Effects of Flood Drivers, Sea Level Rise, and Dredging Protocols on Vessel Navigability and Wetland Inundation Dynamics, Frontiers in Marine Science, 9:906376. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2022.906376.
- Abbaszadeh, P., D. Munoz, H. Moftakhari, K. Jafarzadegan, and H. Moradkhani (2022), Perspective on uncertainty quantification and reduction in compound flood modeling and forecasting, iScience, doi:10.1016/j.isci.2022.105201
- Hamidi, E., B. Peter, D. Munoz, H. Moftakhari, and H. Moradkhani (2023), Fast Flood Extent Monitoring with SAR Change Detection Using Google Earth Engine, IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, doi: 10.1109/TGRS.2023.3240097.
- Jafarzadegan, K., H. Moradkhani, F. Pappenberger, H. Moftakhari, P. Bates, P. Abbaszadeh, R. Marsooli, C. Ferreira, H. Cloke, F. Ogden, and D. Qingyun (2023), Recent Advances and New Frontiers in Riverine and Coastal Flood Modeling, Reviews of Geophysics, doi:10.1007/s11625-023-01298-0
- Oruc, N., K. Jafarzadegan, and H. Moradkhani (2024), Improving flood inundation modeling skill: interconnection between model parameters and boundary conditions, Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, doi: 10.1007/s40808-023-01768-5
- Gomez, FJ., K. Jafarzadegan, H. Moftakhari, and H. Moradkhani (2024), Probabilistic Flood Inundation Mapping through Copula Bayesian Multi-Modelling of Precipitation Products, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions, doi:10.5194/nhess-2024-26
- Muñoz, D. F., H. Moftakhari, and H. Moradkhani (2024), Quantifying Cascading Uncertainty in Compound Flood Modeling with Linked Process-based and Machine Learning Models, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, doi:10.5194/hess-2024-9
- Dey, H., W. Shao, H. Moradkhani, B. Keim, and B. Peter (2024), Urban Flood Susceptibility Mapping Using Frequency Ratio and Multiple Decision Tree‑based Machine Learning Models, Natural Hazards, doi:10.1007/s11069-024-06609-x